DJIA Hits New YTD Low
September 25, 2022

We have we seen this movie before. For the past 4 out of 5 weeks, the major US stock market indices were down again.

We have we seen this movie before. For the past 4 out of 5 weeks, the major US stock market indices were down again.

As of Friday’s close, we hang slightly above the June lows for the year. The concern about recession seems to be the main theme from many market analysts.

After three weeks of losses, the US stock market indices finally posted gains. “What caused it?” you might ask. Maybe the law of averages? But truly the catalyst is nowhere to be found!

We now have two straight weeks of negative returns in the major US stock market indices, and it was a doozy, especially on Friday! Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made perfectly clear his intention to beat inflation. In no uncertain terms, that means raising interest rates higher for longer to slow down economic growth.

Sooner or later, after four weeks of gains in the S&P 500, we experienced negative returns in all three of the major US stock market indices. It appears that rising interest rates (and bond yields) may push down stocks.

All three of the major US stock indices posted gains for the week with the S&P 500 having advanced four weeks in a row! Even the year-to-date returns, though still off, have recovered about 20-50% from the June lows.

How does the song go? “Two Out of Three Ain’t Bad!” That’s what happened last week as the major US stock market indices posted gains in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq but a slight loss in the DJIA.

Last week produced winners in the US stock market as all three major indices enjoyed gains. In fact, July posted the best month since 2020!

Have you ever had one of those weeks when things didn’t seem to go very well but, on the whole, they actually did? Maybe the summer malaise has set in cause that’s what happened to the US stock market indices with all three posting gains.

There is an age-old adage that Dr. Marty Zweig coined. Whether interest rates are going up or down, “don’t fight the Fed”! For the past 40 years, interest rates primarily went down and stayed there. Recently, as we all know, interest rates have begun to rise.
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