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Wage-push inflation forcing the Fed’s hand?

February 26, 2023

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HEALTHY!

US stock market indices incurred another down week (i.e., DJIA: -2.61%, S&P 500: -2.94%, Nasdaq: -3.89%) making it the third weekly loss for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq and the fourth for the DJIA. Interest rates continue to rise even though the economy seems to be slowing. As stated in our previous Weekly H&Cs, the labor market remains strong, forcing the Federal Reserve to combat what appears to be 1970’s-like wage-push inflation. Price-to-earnings ratios remain elevated at 17.5X on the S&P 500 albeit while corporations announce lower than expected earnings. The Fed has made it clear that interest rates may increase for a longer period. Take a look at the Fidelity’s Spring 2023 Investment Themes link below.

Unlike a year or so ago when you couldn’t earn anything on your cash, today the two-year US Treasury Note yields 4.803% and money market funds are yielding in the 4% range. This being the case, there isn’t much incentive to invest more in the stock market. Click the BlackRock link, “Seeking income and staying nimble,” below for more insight on this topic.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Fidelity:

  • Spring 2023 Investment Themes: Still waiting on what breaks first — the Economy or Inflation?

BlackRock:

  • Weekly commentary: Seeking income and staying nimble

J.P. Morgan Asset Management:

  • Income or insurance: what is your antidote?

Capital Group:

  • 3 views on the future of growth investing

Schwab:

  • Can Markets Rise Above U.S.-China Tensions?

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven).  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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