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More Conflict, Seemingly Less Market Concern

June 29, 2025

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

IN CELEBRATION OF JULY 4TH, WE WILL NOT BE PUBLISHING OUR WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS & COMMENTARY NEXT WEEKEND.

WISHING YOU A HAPPY AND SAFE INDEPENDENCE DAY! MAY THE SPIRIT OF FREEDOM AND UNITY INSPIRE US ALL TO A BETTER FUTURE TOGETHER.

The three major U.S. stock market indices rebounded strongly this week (i.e., DJIA: +3.55%, S&P 500: +3.24%, Nasdaq: +4.25%), marking a dramatic reversal from recent declines. Investors appear to be developing thicker skin when it comes to geopolitical shocks. Charles Schwab’s recent podcast highlighted how markets quickly shrugged off last weekend’s U.S. military action against Iranian facilities. Oil prices had initially spiked in response but reversed course once traders determined that the critical Strait of Hormuz would likely remain open. This swift recovery suggests that, while headlines still move markets, they tend to find equilibrium without fundamentally disrupting global commerce.

The investment landscape has clearly shifted toward a more pragmatic assessment of global uncertainties, with firms adapting to what feels like a permanent state of managed chaos. Capital Group’s midyear outlook acknowledges we’re experiencing a “fundamental restructuring of the geopolitical order.” However, this isn’t necessarily catastrophic for well-positioned investors. Rather than viewing current conditions as an insurmountable challenge, savvy market participants are treating volatility as an opportunity to separate strong companies from weak ones. The firms that emerge stronger from this period will likely be those that have built flexible, resilient business models rather than those dependent on rigid global supply chains. What we’re witnessing isn’t the end of globalization. Its merely an evolution from the hyper-connection that dominated the past few decades to more distributed, flexible systems.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Schwab:

  • The Markets Shrug at Geopolitics, for Now

Capital Group:

  • Outlook | 2025 Midyear Edition

Argus:

  • The Stock Market at Mid-Year

Northern Trust:

  • NATO Puts A Price On Peace

Alta:

  • Market Insights | June 2025

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven). OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

Filed Under: Latest News

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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