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Rally Interrupted

June 15, 2025

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

HAPPY FATHER’S DAY TO ALL THE FATHERS, CAREGIVERS, AND FATHER FIGURES! YOUR LOVE AND GUIDANCE MAKE A LASTING IMPACT.

The three major U.S. stock market indices posted modest declines this week (i.e., DJIA: -1.49%, S&P 500: -0.39%, Nasdaq: -0.63%), marking a pause in the recent recovery that brought markets near year-opening levels. First Trust shared a timely perspective given the ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran. Their analysis, linked below, covers market performance during major wars and crises spanning the 1920s through today. Despite the emotional weight that geopolitical conflict triggers, markets seem to have developed an impressive ability to navigate turbulence and find their way back on course. Initial volatility is common but so is recovery back to the long-term upward trajectory.

Capital Group strategists released an optimistic outlook, emphasizing that current market dynamics reflect broader investment rotation rather than fundamental concerns. Their analysis highlights multinational companies that continue to benefit from diversified global operations. In fact, for companies with strong supply chain flexibility, recent trade developments have created new opportunities. Capital Group notes, “Many multinationals are developing a ‘multi-local’ approach to business, moving closer to customers.” With strong leadership, these companies are proving quite adept at turning challenges into competitive advantages through creative problem-solving.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

First Trust:

  • Wars, Geopolitical Shocks & The Stock Market

Capital Group:

  • Stock market outlook: New growth catalysts amid volatility

Invesco:

  • Tariffs may lead to stagflation

Argus:

  • Slow Summer Ahead? Don’t Be so Sure

Schwab:

  • ‘Muddiness’ & Uncertainty in the Markets

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven). OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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