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Yields rise and stocks fall on labor report surprise

January 12, 2025

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HAVE FUN!

All three major US stock market indices were in the red this past week (i.e., DJIA: -1.07%, S&P 500: -0.71%, Nasdaq: -0.62%) on the heels of a hotter-than-expected labor report and corresponding rise in yields. This is the market’s way of saying, “The Fed may not lower interest rates any time soon.” The 10-year US Treasury struck 4.77% on Friday, the highest since November 2023. Higher yields like this tend to attract investment dollars to bonds from stocks. Hence, the stock market’s negative reaction. Schwab’s Weekly Trader’s Outlook provides a more in-depth explanation of this domino effect. Click the link below.

Per usual, one of our favorite economists, Dr. David Kelly from J.P. Morgan Asset Management, blessed us with his 1Q 2025 Economic and Market Update. The link contains his comments to a summary version of his longer PowerPoint presentation. Dr. Kelly kindly uses layman’s terms for us all to understand. We hope you find his piece interesting and worthwhile.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Schwab:

  • Strong Jobs Data Sends Yields Higher, Stocks Lower

J.P. Morgan Asset Management:

  • Economic and Market Update | U.S. | 1Q 2025

Zacks:

  • Broad-Based Growth Expected in 2025

Argus:

  • Argus Analysts’ Top Picks for 2025

Northern Trust:

  • Forging Ahead | 2025 Business Owner Benchmark

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven). OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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