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Job Gains Surprise

October 6, 2024

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HAVE FUN!

US stock market indices eked out a fourth straight week of gains (i.e., DJIA: +0.09%, S&P 500: +0.22%, Nasdaq: +0.10%), pushing the DJIA to another record high. Friday’s stronger-than-expected September employment data countered many analysts’ thoughts about a slowing economy. Unexpectedly, the unemployment rate continues to hover around 4%. Most certainly, this “slowing but still growing” US economy may pause or reduce the Fed’s anticipated interest rate moves. What does all this mean as we embark on the fourth quarter of 2024? Janus Henderson Investors provide their thoughts in the epistle “Top-of-mind risks for US equities.” Click the link below.

Per usual, the fall ushers in multiple research pieces prognosticating the future as we head into yearend. Dr. David Kelly, J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s Chief Strategist, produces a quarterly Guide to the Markets, which he then synthesizes into a PowerPoint presentation of only 27 pages. We have been a big fan of Dr. Kelly for years because he dumbs the information down and supports it with meaningful and understandable graphs. We hope you find the link below a worthwhile read.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Janus Henderson Investors:

  • Top-of-mind market risks for U.S. equities

J.P. Morgan Asset Management:

  • Economic and Market Update | U.S. | 4Q 2024

James Investment Research:

  • Economic Outlook 2024 | 4th Quarter Outlook

Neuberger Berman:

  • Equity Market Outlook 4Q 2024

Argus:

  • Big Finish to the Third Quarter as Election Looms: Our Monthly Survey of the Economy, Interest Rates, and Stocks

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven.  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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