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Good News May Mean Bad News

October 29, 2023

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HAVE FUN!

For the second week in a row, all three of the major US stock market indices posted losses (i.e., DJIA: -2.14%, S&P 500: -2.53%, Nasdaq: -2.62%). The good news is that the economy continues to rock on. 3Q2023 GDP (gross domestic product) grew at 4.9%. The bad news is that, although the Fed may hold rates steady at their meeting next week, their resolve may still be to slow economic growth and rein in inflation towards their 2% target. Look at the Capital Group’s article, “Fed’s 2% inflation target could be delivered early,” for more insight.

3Q2023 corporate earnings announcements continue to meet or slightly beat expectations, but the S&P 500 price-to-earnings ratio now trades at a lofty 18.31X. The market has recognized the high price for stocks. Short-term US Treasury rates remain at an elevated 5%+ level, which continues to pose challenges for the US stock market. Bonds now have a place in portfolio allocations. In recent weeks, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have sold off near the precipice of correction territory, down 10%. BlackRock’s Weekly Commentary sheds some light on this topic.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Capital Group:

  • Fed’s 2% inflation target could be delivered early

BlackRock:

  • U.S. stocks: selective as earnings stall

Zacks:

  • The Earnings Picture Continues to Improve

Putnam Investments:

  • Sticky inflation is likely if there is no recession

Parnassus Funds:

  • Anatomy of a Semiconductor Cycle

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven).  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

Filed Under: Latest News

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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