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Talk of Government Shutdown Further Spooks Stock Market

October 1, 2023

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HAVE FUN!

Government shutdown potential, strikes, interest rates, and oil prices played havoc with the US stock market last week (i.e., DJIA: -1.34%, S&P 500: -0.74%, Nasdaq: +0.06%). In fact, these factors impacted the entire month of September (i.e., DJIA: -3.50%, S&P 500: -4.87%, Nasdaq: -5.81%), leading to the worst S&P 500 monthly performance since December 2022! For a historical perspective on the impact of government shutdowns, read the J.P. Morgan Asset Management piece below.

The US stock market has befuddled many analysts throughout 2023 as corporate earnings have stagnated or shrunk over three straight quarters. Yet the US stock market indices have gained 1.09% – 26.30% year-to-date. Projections of double-digit earnings growth on the S&P 500 next year must be supporting the trading range of 4,200 – 4,300. Time will tell if rising borrowing costs and higher energy prices slow the economy further. Click Northern Trust’s “Energy Prices Are Creating Discomfort” for more detail.

For those that may be interested, we have included a bonus article this week titled “10 Steps to Reduce Your Risk of Cyber Fraud.” Enjoy!

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management:

  • What happens if the U.S. government shuts down?

Northern Trust:

  • Energy Prices Are Creating Discomfort

BlackRock:

  • Yields surge as a new regime plays out

Parnassus:

  • CIO Update: Beware the Ketchup Bottle in the Stock Market

Argus:

  • AI & EV: The Other Edge of the Sword

Northern Trust:

  • 10 Steps to Reduce Your Risk of Cyber Fraud

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven).  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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