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Interest Rate Anticipation Stalls Markets

September 17, 2023

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HAVE FUN!

For the most part, the US stock market indices have remained range bound the past two months. This past week reflected more of the same ho-hum results (i.e., DJIA: +0.12%, S&P 500: -0.16%, Nasdaq: -0.39%). Perhaps, anticipation that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes this week has the US stock market in a malaise? Nonetheless, the Fed’s mantra of “higher interest rates for longer” remains intact. Only rising oil prices could upset the apple cart on the inflation front. Capital Group’s epistle on this topic provides some interesting insight.

Although the US stock indices have recently stalled, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq respective year-to-date returns of +15.91% and +30.97% should produce some euphoric sensations! Embedded (aka non-transitory) inflation has enabled corporations to raise prices on goods and services and, thus, improve earnings. As we all know, the markets operate based on expectations of the future. Currently, the S&P 500 is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.93X trailing twelve months earnings. With corporate earnings expected to grow by 11.9% in 2024, we may better understand why the market is up so much year-to-date. Click the Zacks Earnings Trends link below for more information.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Capital Group:

  • As rate hikes near end, historic investor opportunity may begin

Zacks:

  • Zacks Earnings Trends: Looking Ahead to Q3 Earnings

J.P. Morgan Asset Management:

  • What is the outlook for the relationship between stocks and bonds?

Argus:

  • Soft Landing Still on Track: 2Q 23 Economic Review

Northern Trust:

  • U.S. Economic Outlook, September 2023

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven).  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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