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U.S. Credit Rating Downgrade Spooks Markets

August 6, 2023

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HAVE FUN!

The big news last week was that Fitch downgraded the US Treasury’s credit rating to AA+ from AAA. After all, we have been running continuous budget deficits since the Clinton administration in 2001! Several stock market analysts want to blame last week’s dip in the US stock indices (i.e., DJIA: -1.11%, S&P 500: -2.27%, Nasdaq: -2.85%) on the ratings downgrade, but there were also several disappointing company earnings reports–like Apple’s. Just the same, click BlackRock’s postmortem on the rating downgrade.

In the meantime, let’s do our own analysis of the US stock market and 2023 earnings through June 30. The US economy keeps plugging along and seems to be avoiding that once feared recession. Year-over-year earnings were mildly lower on slightly higher revenues, and the S&P 500 currently trades at a lofty 19.9X next twelve months earnings. Several market pundits have concerns about rising interest rates in conjunction with year-to-date returns of +16.63% for the S&P 500 and +32.89% for the Nasdaq. We are approaching what is generally known as the most volatile time of the year in the stock market. Review the Zacks research piece below for additional insight.

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

BlackRock:

  • Spotlight on U.S. fiscal challenges

Zacks:

  • Stabilizing Earnings Estimates

Capital Group:

  • U.S. economy hit by rolling recession

J.P. Morgan Asset Management:

  • Is it true that when the U.S. sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold?

Janus Henderson:

  • Fitch U.S. credit rating downgrade: What does it mean for fixed income investors?

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven).  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

Filed Under: Latest News

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