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Trading sideways ahead of Fed meeting

April 30, 2023

From the desks of Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera

STAY SAFE & HEALTHY!

Slowly, oh so slowly, the three major US stock market indices kept marching upwards this week (i.e., DJIA: +0.86%, S&P 500: +0.87%, Nasdaq: +1.28%). Since the January breakout rally, the US indices have trended sideways for the most part. Approximately 60% of the returns of the S&P 500 have been generated by those five ever-present big tech names: AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, META, AMZN. The stock market has rewarded those companies that have reined in their spending, thus producing nice earnings. On the other hand, it appears to be ignoring prospects for growth. That could be the tale for the market as the US economy slows. So what does the stock market foretell? Click the Capital Group link for some thoughts on “Why the next economic recovery may be stronger than expected.”

The highly anticipated May meeting of the Federal Reserve will occur this coming week. Most economist expect a 0.25% rate increase in the Fed Funds rate. However, a dissenting group prefers to see the Fed pause at this juncture. As previously stated, many parts of the economy are slowing, but employment, wages, and inflation remain high. Northern Trust provides a plausible explanation for what to expect from the Fed. Click it!

Below are links to a number of third-party research reports that we have read and analyzed over the past week. We hope you will find the information interesting, useful, and worthwhile.

Capital Group:

  • Why the next economic recovery may be stronger than expected

Northern Trust:

  • Fed Preview: The End is Near

Invesco:

  • Above the Noise: Guideposts on the path to a new cycle

Goldman Sachs:

  • Global Economics Wrap-Up

BlackRock:

  • Weekly commentary: EM assets have the edge — for now

Stanley Katz & Lauren Madera, Financial Advisors
ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc.
937-293-5500

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or economic sector, or implement any strategy discussed. Please consult with your financial advisor, accountant, and/or attorney before acting on this information. ClientFirst Financial Strategies, Inc. is a DBA of OneSeven, LLC (OneSeven).  OneSeven is an investment advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.  Securities offered through Fortune Financial Services, Inc. (Fortune), Member FINRA/SIPC.  OneSeven and Fortune are separate entities.  Investment Products are Not FDIC Insured, Offer No Bank Guarantee, and May Lose Value.

OneSeven and Fortune do not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third parties.

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Disclosures: OneSeven (“OneSeven”) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are provided under the name ClientFirst Financial Strategies (“ClientFirst”), a DBA of OneSeven. Investment products are not FDIC insured, offer no bank guarantee, and may lose value.

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